Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 2 of the 2019-20 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||Final Season||0.55||0.05|
|Modern Family (O)||Final Season||1.10||0.60|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||Renewed||1.40||0.90|
|Fresh Off the Boat (F) (O)||🐻 🐻||0.45||0.14|
|Single Parents (O)||🐻 🐻||0.70||0.20|
|The Rookie (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.65||0.15|
|Stumptown (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.70||0.20|
|Emergence (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.70||0.20|
|Bless This Mess (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.75||0.25|
|Schooled||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.80||0.30|
|mixed-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.80||0.30|
|black-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.80||0.30|
|American Housewife (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.60||0.36|
|A Million Little Things (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.90||0.40|
|The Good Doctor||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.95||0.45|
|The Goldbergs||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.00||0.50|
|The Conners||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.25||0.75|
We’re a little over two weeks into the 2019-20 season, and the Bear has some good news for “A Million Little Things.”
The ABC drama has gotten its second season off to a pretty good start this fall. Airing in the same 9 p.m. Thursday time slot that it moved to halfway through its first season, the series has averaged a 0.9 live + same day rating among adults 18-49 throughout its first two episodes.
That puts “A Million Little Things” almost perfectly even with its first season’s overall 18-49 average, and makes it ABC’s sixth-highest-rated show of the season, as of right now. If it can continue to perform at, or at least close to, the same level as its first two episodes, then the Bear has a good feeling that “A Million Little Things” will get renewed for a third season.
In other news, ABC has several shows sitting in tossup territory right now, including freshman dramas, “Stumptown” and “Emergence.” Neither shows have been performing particularly well in the live + same day ratings, but the Bear wants to see how they do in delayed viewing before making any concrete calls on their futures this week.
Expect the Bear to be making some changes to those tossup shows in the coming weeks though, as more data and numbers come rolling in.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2020|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2019-20 season, replacement level is a 0.5 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.5 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.