ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 2 of the 2016-17 season show a new comedy hasn’t caused any hiccups in the network’s Wednesday lineup.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the new methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Notorious 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.4
Dr. Ken (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.85 0.52
Quantico (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Secrets and Lies (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.95 0.25
Last Man Standing (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.873
Agents of SHIELD (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Once Upon a Time (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.2 0.5
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.35 0.65
The Goldbergs 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.95 1.25
Speechless 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.9 1.2
Designated Survivor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.0 1.3
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.45 1.75
Modern Family 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.45 1.75
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.8 1.1

 

The Bear will stipulate that all of ABC’s Wednesday comedies are down year to year, and that the one change to the lineup — “Speechless” moving into the 8:30 p.m. spot formerly occupied by “The Goldbergs” — is below where “The Goldbergs” was last season.

But it’s this season, not last, and in the context of this season “Speechless” has been a near-seamless fit in the early going.

The series premiered to a 2.0 rating in adults 18-49 and held onto 90 percent of that audience in week 2, dipping to a 1.8. That’s a pretty minimal fall, and it’s also keeping nearly all of the “Goldbergs” audience around too.

Down though it may be, ABC’s Wednesday comedy block is still one of the network’s strong points. “Speechless” is likely to remain part of that mix for a while.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • https://themorningupdate.wordpress.com/2016/10/04/the-morning-update-for-tuesday-october-4-2016/ The Morning Update for Tuesday, October 4, 2016. | The Morning Update

    […] TVBTN: Cancel Bear vs. ABC, week 2: ‘Speechless’ is fitting in just fine In the context of this season “Speechless” has been a near-seamless fit in the early going. The […]

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