Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 22 of the 2018-19 season, and why one freshman comedy’s ratings decline has impacted its renewal chances.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|A Million Little Things (O)||Renewed||0.90||0.30|
|The Good Doctor||Renewed||1.10||0.50|
|Splitting Up Together||🐻 🐻||0.69||0.09|
|Single Parents||🐻 🐻||0.89||0.29|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.69||0.09|
|The Rookie (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.73||0.13|
|The Kids Are Alright (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.93||0.33|
|Speechless (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.51||0.13|
|Black-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.86||0.26|
|Fresh Off the Boat (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.63||0.30|
|American Housewife (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.99||0.39|
|Station 19 (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.03||0.43|
|Schooled||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.03||0.43|
|The Goldbergs||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.21||0.61|
|The Conners||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.55||0.95|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.63||1.03|
The Bear felt good about “Single Parents” at the start of this season, but his belief in its season 2 chances has changed drastically in the months since.
The series has been experiencing a steady ratings decline throughout the past several months, and with a 0.89 average rating in adults 18-49, has become the network’s lowest-rated freshman comedy. Without certain added advantages going for it too, like the third-season rule or some strong delayed viewing numbers, the Bear has come to believe that “Single Parents” is likely to be a one-and-done this year.
While the show’s performance hasn’t become low enough to earn it its place as a sure bet to be canceled, the future is looking less and less certain for “Single Parents” these days.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.