Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 23 of the 2018-19 season, and how a unique premiere strategy has placed the network’s latest dramedy in an uncertain place.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|A Million Little Things (O)||Renewed||0.91||0.31|
|The Good Doctor||Renewed||1.10||0.50|
|Splitting Up Together||🐻||0.69||0.09|
|Single Parents||🐻 🐻||0.88||0.28|
|The Rookie (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.72||0.12|
|The Kids Are Alright (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.92||0.32|
|Whiskey Cavalier||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.70||0.10|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.69||0.09|
|Speechless (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.50||0.12|
|Black-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.86||0.26|
|Fresh Off the Boat (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.63||0.30|
|American Housewife (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.99||0.39|
|Station 19 (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.03||0.43|
|Schooled||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.01||0.41|
|The Goldbergs||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.21||0.61|
|The Conners||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.55||0.95|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.63||1.03|
The series premiere of ABC’s “Whiskey Cavalier” failed to put it in a solid position in the renew/cancel index.
Now, considering that ABC aired a sneak peek broadcast of its pilot episode immediately following the Oscars the Sunday before, the fact that “Whiskey Cavalier’s” official time-period premiere Wednesday night put up relatively low numbers isn’t necessarily its fault.
So since some viewers may have watched its post-Oscars premiere, and then decided to skip its re-airing the following Wednesday, it is possible “Whiskey Cavalier’s” numbers will go up in the coming weeks. With all that being said though, a 0.7 live + same day rating among adults 18-49 just isn’t enough to make “Whiskey Cavalier” a likely renewal right out of the gate.
The Bear is calling it a tossup for now, and is leaving room for some possible improvements in its next few episodes. But the Bear will be keeping a close eye on it from here on out – especially with it already being dangerously close to likely cancellation territory.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.