Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 23 of the 2018-19 season, and how a unique premiere strategy has placed the network’s latest dramedy in an uncertain place.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
A Million Little Things (O) Renewed 0.91 0.31
The Good Doctor Renewed 1.10 0.50
Modern Family Renewed 1.31 0.71
Splitting Up Together 🐻 0.69 0.09
Single Parents 🐻 🐻 0.88 0.28
The Rookie (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.72 0.12
The Kids Are Alright (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.92 0.32
Whiskey Cavalier 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.70 0.10
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.69 0.09
Speechless (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.50 0.12
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.86 0.26
Fresh Off the Boat (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.63 0.30
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.99 0.39
Station 19 (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.43
Schooled 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.41
The Goldbergs 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 0.61
The Conners 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.55 0.95
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.63 1.03

 

The series premiere of ABC’s “Whiskey Cavalier” failed to put it in a solid position in the renew/cancel index.

Now, considering that ABC aired a sneak peek broadcast of its pilot episode immediately following the Oscars the Sunday before, the fact that “Whiskey Cavalier’s” official time-period premiere Wednesday night put up relatively low numbers isn’t necessarily its fault.

So since some viewers may have watched its post-Oscars premiere, and then decided to skip its re-airing the following Wednesday, it is possible “Whiskey Cavalier’s” numbers will go up in the coming weeks. With all that being said though, a 0.7 live + same day rating among adults 18-49 just isn’t enough to make “Whiskey Cavalier” a likely renewal right out of the gate.

The Bear is calling it a tossup for now, and is leaving room for some possible improvements in its next few episodes. But the Bear will be keeping a close eye on it from here on out – especially with it already being dangerously close to likely cancellation territory.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2019/03/08/the-night-king-is-coming-and-this-time-its-personal/ The Night King is coming and this time it’s personal. – foolish watcher

    […] Whiskey Cavalier is something of an early toss-up for ABC. […]

    Like

  • https://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-abc-week-27-2018-19/ Cancel Bear vs. ABC, week 27: ‘Whiskey Cavalier’s’ adventures won’t last long – TV By The Numbers by zap2it.com

    […] Bear was willing to give “Whiskey Cavalier” the benefit of the doubt after its time-period premiere only raked in a low 0.7 live + same day rating among adults 18-49. […]

    Like

blog comments powered by Disqus