Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 6 of the 2018-19 season, and why one freshman comedy has earned its status as a likely renewal.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Speechless (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.48 0.09
Splitting Up Together 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.83 0.23
The Rookie (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.87 0.27
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.77 0.17
Fresh Off the Boat (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.58 0.23
A Million Little Things (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.85 0.25
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.00 0.40
Station 19 (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.00 0.40
Single Parents 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.43
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.05 0.45
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.14 0.54
The Goldbergs 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 0.63
The Kids Are Alright (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.27 0.67
Modern Family 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.40 0.80
The Conners 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.97 1.37
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.62 1.02

 

ABC has been doing well with its freshman comedies this season. The “Roseanne” spin-off, “The Conners,” has become the network’s highest-rated show, while the steady ratings performance by “Single Parents” has kept it as a likely renewal.

That trend has continued with “The Kids Are Alright,” which currently ranks as one of the network’s highest-rated titles and has averaged a solid 1.27 L+SD rating for itself among adults 18-49. It has paired well with “The Conners” Tuesday nights, and coming off its recent full-season pickup, has some good momentum going for it at the moment.

So assuming the show can continue to perform as well as it has been, The Bear thinks the future of “The Kids Are Alright” is looking very, very good.

The Bear also noticed that “The Rookie” was picked up for a full season by the network earlier this week, but wants to keep watching its numbers for the time being, before making an official call on it.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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