Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 6 of the 2019-20 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||Final Season||0.48||-0.02|
|Modern Family (O)||Final Season||1.02||0.52|
|Fresh Off the Boat (F) (O)||Canceled||0.45||0.14|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||Renewed||1.30||0.80|
|Emergence (O)||🐻 🐻||0.58||0.08|
|Single Parents (O)||🐻 🐻||0.67||0.17|
|The Rookie (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.58||0.08|
|Stumptown (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.62||0.12|
|mixed-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.73||0.23|
|black-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.73||0.23|
|Schooled||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.75||0.25|
|Bless This Mess (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.76||0.26|
|A Million Little Things (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.82||0.32|
|American Housewife (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.60||0.36|
|The Good Doctor||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.88||0.38|
|The Goldbergs||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.97||0.47|
|The Conners||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.20||0.70|
“Stumptown’s” performance in the linear ratings this fall has been middling at best, but the Bear still thinks it’ll get renewed for a second season.
Across its first five episodes, the Cobie Smulders-led freshman drama has averaged only a 0.62 live + same day rating in the adults 18-49 demo. That puts it in the bottom half of ABC’s 18-49 rankings, but the series has been making up for its poor linear performance elsewhere.
“Stumptown” has not only been scoring strong gains in this fall’s DVR ratings, but the largest of any of this season’s rookie shows. That alone might have been enough to put “Stumptown” into likely renewal territory, but coming off ABC’s decision last week to pick it up for a full season, things are beginning to look good for “Stumptown.”
It is possible that the show’s linear numbers fall so low that not even its DVR performance will be enough to save it, but for now, “Stumptown” is a likely renewal.
In other news, ABC officially canceled “Fresh Off the Boat” today. It’ll end its run with its sixth season, as the Bear had predicted it would.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2020|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2019-20 season, replacement level is a 0.5 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.5 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.