Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 8 of the 2018-19 season, and why one drama’s sophomore declines still haven’t hurt its renewal chances.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Speechless (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.50 0.12
Splitting Up Together 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.80 0.20
The Rookie (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.83 0.23
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.76 0.16
A Million Little Things (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.83 0.23
Fresh Off the Boat (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.60 0.26
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.00 0.40
Station 19 (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.43
Single Parents 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.43
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.06 0.46
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.10 0.50
The Kids Are Alright (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.20 0.60
The Goldbergs 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.24 0.64
Modern Family 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.40 0.80
The Conners 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.85 1.25
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.63 1.03

 

“The Good Doctor” has suffered some noticeable declines in its second season. The medical drama is currently averaging a 1.1 rating among adults 18-49, down seven-tenths from its first season’s 1.8 average, and has (just barely) fallen into the bottom half of ABC’s top 10 shows.

However, it has also been holding well the past several weeks, and has maintained a strong presence in the DVR ratings week-to-week. Should NBC’s “Manifest” continue to fall in the ratings too, then “The Good Doctor” could very well take back the 10 p.m. hour Monday nights.

So with all of that being said, the Bear still considers “The Good Doctor” a likely renewal – for now, at least.

The Bear has also promoted “Grey’s Anatomy” to a sure bet for renewal, since it’s still the network’s second highest-rated show. Plus, the Bear really doesn’t see it ending this year.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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