Cancel Bear vs. CBS, week 20: ‘Scorpion’ has soft ratings, no syndication – and a good chance at renewal

Here are CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 20 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Me, Myself & I Canceled 1.0 0.3
Wisdom of the Crowd Canceled 0.92 0.22
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.67 -0.03
Superior Donuts (O) 🐻 🐻 0.95 0.25
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.84 0.14
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.99 0.29
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.07 0.37
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.96 0.26
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.31
SWAT 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.02 0.32
SEAL Team (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.38
9JKL (O) 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.87 0.54
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.47
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 0.51
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.51 0.81
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.74
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.94 0.64
NCIS (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.44 0.74
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.58
Young Sheldon Renewed 2.38 1.68
The Big Bang Theory Renewed 2.92 2.22

 

“Scorpion” doesn’t much in the way of ratings this season. It’s down 29 percent vs. last year and has fallen by more than 50 percent since 2015-16.

Yet despite those negatives the Bear is moving the show into the likely renewal column. CBS is likely to give the show, which is owned by the network’s parent company, another year to lock down a syndication or streaming deal, during which the show will get over the 100-episode hump.

Those back-end dollars are harder to come by than they were a few years ago, but CBS has indicated it’s planning to shop “Scorpion” around for syndication again later this year. That will be much easier to do with a show that’s still on the air.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.