Cancel Bear vs. CBS, week 23: ‘Living Biblically’ probably won’t rise again

Here are CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 23 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Me, Myself & I Canceled 1.0 0.3
Wisdom of the Crowd Canceled 0.92 0.22
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.67 -0.03
Living Biblically 🐻 🐻 0.8 0.1
Superior Donuts (O) 🐻 🐻 0.94 0.24
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.84 0.14
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.99 0.29
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.06 0.36
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.96 0.26
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.31
SWAT 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
SEAL Team (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.06 0.36
9JKL (O) 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.86 0.53
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.47
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 0.51
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.51 0.81
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.74
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.63
NCIS (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.44 0.74
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.26 0.56
Young Sheldon Renewed 2.35 1.65
The Big Bang Theory Renewed 2.89 2.19

 

TV history tells us that a show’s premiere is usually one of the two or three highest-rated episodes of its season. Which means things aren’t likely to get much better for “Living Biblically.”

Which further means that, after a modest 0.8 in adults 18-49 for its premiere, the Bear is projecting a likely cancellation for the new comedy.

“Living Biblically” didn’t provide any kind of an upgrade from “9JKL,” which likewise averaged 0.8 after moving to the 9:30 p.m. Monday timeslot (and which is also likely to be canceled). With the spring ratings swoon about to begin — daylight saving time kicks in next week — it’s unlikely the show will build on its premiere. The Bear smells one and done.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.