Here are CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 24 of the 2018-19 season, and why one sophomore action series’ year-to-year ratings hit hasn’t pushed it into tossup or cancellation territory.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Big Bang Theory||Final season||2.28||1.68|
|God Friended Me||Renewed||0.89||0.29|
|The Neighborhood (O)||Renewed||1.14||0.54|
|Happy Together (O)||DSW||0.85||0.25|
|Ransom (Sat.)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.29||-0.31|
|Madam Secretary (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.59||-0.01|
|Bull (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.79||0.19|
|FAM (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.92||0.32|
|S.W.A.T.||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.79||0.19|
|SEAL Team (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.84||0.24|
|NCIS: New Orleans (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.85||0.25|
|NCIS: Los Angeles (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.88||0.28|
|Man with a Plan (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.94||0.34|
|MacGyver (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.73||0.44|
|Hawaii Five-O (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.81||0.56|
|Blue Bloods (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.81||0.56|
|NCIS (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.29||0.69|
“S.W.A.T.” has suffered an unfortunate, if predictable, ratings hit between its first and second seasons, but the Bear still thinks it has a good shot at coming back for a third season.
The action series has averaged a 0.79 live + same day rating in the adults 18-49 demo this season, down from its first season’s 0.94 average. While that hit has pushed “S.W.A.T.” into the bottom half of CBS’ scripted roster, the Shemar Moore-led series has been one of the network’s most consistent ratings performers this season.
It, along with “SEAL Team,” are far from the kind of massive ratings successes that CBS will be looking more and more for after this season, but the Bear thinks “S.W.A.T.” is still safe for, at the very least, one more year.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.