Here are CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 25 of the 2018-19 season, and why the Bear won’t predict whether a certain Saturday night show is likely to be canceled or renewed.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Big Bang Theory||Final season||2.28||1.68|
|God Friended Me||Renewed||0.89||0.29|
|The Neighborhood (O)||Renewed||1.14||0.54|
|Happy Together (O)||DSW||0.85||0.25|
|Ransom (Sat.)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.27||-0.33|
|Madam Secretary (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.58||-0.02|
|Bull (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.79||0.19|
|FAM (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.90||0.30|
|S.W.A.T.||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.79||0.19|
|SEAL Team (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.84||0.24|
|NCIS: New Orleans (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.84||0.24|
|NCIS: Los Angeles (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.88||0.28|
|Man with a Plan (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.92||0.32|
|MacGyver (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.72||0.43|
|Blue Bloods (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.80||0.54|
|Hawaii Five-O (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.81||0.56|
|NCIS (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.28||0.68|
Just like last year, the Bear isn’t going to waste much time thinking about the future of “Ransom.”
A rental property that CBS airs Saturday nights, the Bear knows that “Ransom’s” ratings performance has little to do with whether or not CBS will air another season of it. All that really matters is whether or not the show can remain cheap enough for CBS to make some kind of profit off of it, and those kinds of decisions are hard to predict.
So to put it simply enough, the Bear is calling “Ransom” a tossup, and won’t be changing his mind on that anytime soon.
In other news, the Bear is continuing to keep a close eye on “Fam.” The Bear is currently calling the Nina Dobrev-led freshman comedy a tossup, and will check back in with a more in-depth look at its standing sometime in the coming weeks. Stay tuned.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.