CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 27 of the 2016-17 season check in on the shows that haven’t yet been renewed.
Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Elementary (O)||🐻 🐻||0.67||-0.03|
|Code Black (O)||🐻 🐻||0.97||0.27|
|The Odd Couple (O)||🐻 🐻||1.01||0.31|
|Ransom (Sat.)||🐻 🐻||0.43||-0.09|
|Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders (O)||🐻 🐻||0.87||0.17|
|Life in Pieces||Renewed||1.31||0.61|
|Criminal Minds (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.4||0.7|
|Blue Bloods (F) (O)||Renewed||1.19||1.00|
|Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O)||Renewed||1.21||1.03|
|MacGyver (F) (O)||Renewed||1.11||0.89|
|NCIS: Los Angeles (O)||Renewed||1.37||0.67|
|2 Broke Girls||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.33||0.63|
|Man with a Plan (O)||Renewed||1.3||0.6|
|Superior Donuts (O)||Renewed||1.3||0.6|
|The Great Indoors (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.53||0.83|
|Kevin Can Wait (O)||Renewed||1.70||1.00|
|The Big Bang Theory||Renewed||3.27||2.57|
|Madam Secretary (O)||Renewed||0.94||0.24|
|NCIS: New Orleans (O)||Renewed||1.21||0.51|
An annual rite of spring came to pass last week when CBS picked up most of its schedule for next season, as it’s done in March for each of the past several seasons.
The big renewal didn’t include several noteworthy shows, however, so let’s take a look at where things stand going into the final stretch of the season.
“Criminal Minds”: Contract talks tend to drag for this show.
“2 Broke Girls”: Ratings in line with renewed comedies “Man with a Plan,” “Life in Pieces” and “Superior Donuts.”
“The Great Indoors”: CBS-owned, No. 3-rated comedy on the network.
Likely canceled, in order of certainty
“Training Day”: No way it comes back.
“The Odd Couple”: Very unlikely.
“Ransom”: A low-risk Saturday experiment that also yielded low rewards.
“Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders”: Not much of an upgrade from the already canceled “Doubt.”
“Elementary”: Likely too low to be saved by its sweet syndication deal.
“Code Black”: Only if CBS really, really wants a medical drama next season.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2017|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.