CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 31 of the 2016-17 season are in a holding pattern.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Elementary (O) 🐻 🐻 0.66 -0.04
Pure Genius Canceled 0.85 0.15
Doubt (O) Canceled 0.7 0.0
Training Day (some Sat.) 🐻 0.65 -0.05
Code Black (O) 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
The Odd Couple (O) 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.31
Ransom (Sat.) 🐻 🐻 0.42 -0.10
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders (O) 🐻 🐻 0.84 0.14
Life in Pieces Renewed 1.28 0.58
Criminal Minds (O) Renewed 1.38 0.68
Blue Bloods (F) (O) Renewed 1.17 0.97
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) Renewed 1.18 0.99
MacGyver (F) (O) Renewed 1.08 0.84
Mom Renewed 1.43 0.73
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) Renewed 1.34 0.64
2 Broke Girls 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.3 0.6
Man with a Plan (O) Renewed 1.27 0.57
Superior Donuts (O) Renewed 1.23 0.53
Bull (O) Renewed 1.47 0.77
The Great Indoors (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.47 0.77
Kevin Can Wait (O) Renewed 1.65 0.95
The Big Bang Theory Renewed 3.17 2.47
Madam Secretary (O) Renewed 0.92 0.22
NCIS: New Orleans (O) Renewed 1.19 0.49
Scorpion (O) Renewed 1.2 0.5
NCIS (O) Renewed 1.76 1.06

 

We head into the season’s final weeks with CBS predictions unchanged: The likes of “The Odd Couple” and “Training Day” are still on their way out, “2 Broke Girls” still looks like a likely renewal and the picture for “The Great Indoors” remains muddled.

Given how much money Warner Bros. makes in syndication with “2 Broke Girls” — TBS paid $1.7 million per episode for its initial deal several years ago — the studio has financial incentive to make a deal work. Its performance is no worse than several other CBS comedies.

“The Great Indoors” is still in a bit of limbo. That CBS owns the show and has yet to renew it raises a warning flag for the Bear. It seems foolish to discard the network’s No. 3 comedy — even if it is propped up by its “Big Bang Theory” lead-in. But that also means CBS may not have much confidence in the show’s ability to survive in a different spot.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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