CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 31 of the 2016-17 season are in a holding pattern.
Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Elementary (O)||🐻 🐻||0.66||-0.04|
|Training Day (some Sat.)||🐻||0.65||-0.05|
|Code Black (O)||🐻 🐻||0.97||0.27|
|The Odd Couple (O)||🐻 🐻||1.01||0.31|
|Ransom (Sat.)||🐻 🐻||0.42||-0.10|
|Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders (O)||🐻 🐻||0.84||0.14|
|Life in Pieces||Renewed||1.28||0.58|
|Criminal Minds (O)||Renewed||1.38||0.68|
|Blue Bloods (F) (O)||Renewed||1.17||0.97|
|Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O)||Renewed||1.18||0.99|
|MacGyver (F) (O)||Renewed||1.08||0.84|
|NCIS: Los Angeles (O)||Renewed||1.34||0.64|
|2 Broke Girls||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.3||0.6|
|Man with a Plan (O)||Renewed||1.27||0.57|
|Superior Donuts (O)||Renewed||1.23||0.53|
|The Great Indoors (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.47||0.77|
|Kevin Can Wait (O)||Renewed||1.65||0.95|
|The Big Bang Theory||Renewed||3.17||2.47|
|Madam Secretary (O)||Renewed||0.92||0.22|
|NCIS: New Orleans (O)||Renewed||1.19||0.49|
We head into the season’s final weeks with CBS predictions unchanged: The likes of “The Odd Couple” and “Training Day” are still on their way out, “2 Broke Girls” still looks like a likely renewal and the picture for “The Great Indoors” remains muddled.
Given how much money Warner Bros. makes in syndication with “2 Broke Girls” — TBS paid $1.7 million per episode for its initial deal several years ago — the studio has financial incentive to make a deal work. Its performance is no worse than several other CBS comedies.
“The Great Indoors” is still in a bit of limbo. That CBS owns the show and has yet to renew it raises a warning flag for the Bear. It seems foolish to discard the network’s No. 3 comedy — even if it is propped up by its “Big Bang Theory” lead-in. But that also means CBS may not have much confidence in the show’s ability to survive in a different spot.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2017|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.