The broadcast networks announce their 2017-18 schedules the week of May 15, so it’s time for the Bear’s last predictions for renewal or cancellation. Nearly every series still in limbo will know its fate by the end of this week.
Below are the renewal chances for CBS series. Despite its sub-replacement ratings, “Elementary” has a better shot than some to return, though the Bear still believes it should be canceled. “2 Broke Girls” is the only likely return of the bunch. The Status column will be updated as decisions are made.
|Show||Renew/Cancel Index||Renewal chances||Status|
|Training Day||-0.08||0%||Canceled 5/17|
|The Odd Couple||0.31||10%||Canceled 5/15|
|Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders||0.14||15%||Canceled 5/14|
|Code Black||0.27||25%||Renewed 5/14|
|The Great Indoors||0.73||30%||Canceled 5/13|
|2 Broke Girls||0.6||67%||Canceled 5/12|
Already renewed: “The Big Bang Theory,” “Blue Bloods,” “Bull,” “Criminal Minds,” “Hawaii Five-0,” “Kevin Can Wait,” “Life in Pieces,” “MacGyver,” “Madam Secretary,” “Man with a Plan,” “Mom,” “NCIS,” “NCIS: Los Angeles,” “NCIS: New Orleans,” “Scorpion,” “Superior Donuts”
Already canceled: “Doubt,” “Pure Genius”
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.