CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 8 of the 2016-17 season see a comedy struggling after a surprisingly decent run last year.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Elementary (O) 🐻 🐻 0.7 0
Pure Genius 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.23
Code Black (O) 🐻 🐻 0.98 0.28
The Odd Couple (O) 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.33
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.37 0.67
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.58 0.88
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 1.03
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.25 1.09
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.18 0.99
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.43 0.73
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.47 0.77
2 Broke Girls 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.46 0.76
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.43 0.73
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.76 1.06
The Great Indoors (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.73 1.03
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.05 1.35
The Big Bang Theory 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 3.46 2.76
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.02 0.32
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.32 0.62
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.3 0.6
NCIS (O) Renewed 1.92 1.22

 

CBS probably wasn’t really expecting to renew “The Odd Couple” last season when it waited till April to put the show on the air and had it running in an odd twice-a-week pattern in May. The show, however, performed unexpectedly well and basically forced the network’s hand.

Its performance may also have made CBS a little cocky about its prospects. So far this season, “The Odd Couple” isn’t delivering. It’s the network’s lowest-rated comedy by a good margin, at just over a 1.0 in adults 18-49. Coming into this season it had only 25 episodes to its name, so the Third Season Rule can’t save it.

Those factors bump it down to a likely cancellation at this time. Given that the rest of CBS’ comedies are all drawing ratings at least 33 percent higher at the moment, it’s not hard to envision CBS looking to a new show (or the still-to-come “Superior Donuts”) to round out its comedy roster next season.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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