Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 22 of the 2018-19 season. The network’s newest legal drama hasn’t gotten off to much of a good start either.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Gotham Final Season 0.66 0.06
Family Guy (O) Renewed 1.13 0.53
Bob’s Burgers (O) Renewed 1.19 0.59
The Simpsons (O) Renewed 1.48 0.88
REL (O) 🐻 0.65 0.05
The Gifted (O) 🐻 🐻 0.62 0.02
Proven Innocent (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.45 0.04
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 0.71 0.11
The Orville (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.80 0.20
The Passage (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.98 0.38
The Resident (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.99 0.39
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.57
The Cool Kids (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.95 0.76
9-1-1 (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.38 0.78
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.53 0.93
Last Man Standing (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.19 1.10

 

The Bear has some bad news for FOX’s newest rookie drama.

Just two weeks into its first season, and already “Proven Innocent” is likely to be canceled. Airing Friday nights after “The Cool Kids” and “Last Man Standing,” the freshman legal drama has averaged a 0.45 live + same day rating in adults 18-49, making it the network’s lowest-rated title right out of the gate.

Thanks to the index’s Friday multiplier, it has the second-lowest renewal chances of any of the network’s shows, behind only “The Gifted” (also likely to be canceled). Unless the show can manage a miraculous and unlikely ratings turnaround, “Proven Innocent” doesn’t have much of a chance of making it past one season.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2019/03/01/im-going-to-be-honest-this-is-post-is-full-of-bummers-but-ive-tucked-some-john-mulaney-talking-about-cannibals-in-here-to-make-it-a-little-more-palatable/ I’m going to be honest, this is post is full of bummers. But I’ve tucked some John Mulaney talking about cannibals in here to make it a little more palatable. – foolish watcher

    […] Proven Innocent did not debut strong. Lethal Weapon is in trouble, too (but for different reasons). […]

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