Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 23 of the 2018-19 season, and why one of the Bear’s early calls of the season has held strong several months later.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Gotham Final Season 0.65 0.05
Family Guy (O) Renewed 1.11 0.51
Bob’s Burgers (O) Renewed 1.16 0.56
The Simpsons (O) Renewed 1.43 0.83
REL (O) 🐻 0.65 0.05
The Gifted (O) 🐻 🐻 0.61 0.01
Proven Innocent (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.47 0.07
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 0.71 0.11
The Orville (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.80 0.20
The Passage (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.96 0.36
The Resident (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.99 0.39
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.57
The Cool Kids (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.94 0.74
9-1-1 (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.38 0.78
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.53 0.93
Last Man Standing (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.18 1.09

 

23 weeks into the season, and FOX’s decision to save “Last Man Standing” after it was initially canceled by ABC, continues to pay off for the network.

The Tim Allen-led comedy has been one of the network’s strongest ratings performers this season, even without the added cushion of its Friday night time slot. As a result, the Bear still considers “Last Man Standing” a sure bet to be renewed, just like he did at the start of the season.

The Bear still tentatively thinks “The Cool Kids” is a likely renewal as well, even despite its ratings drop in recent weeks. The rookie comedy series isn’t in nearly as good a position as “Last Man Standing” is, but the Bear has a feeling FOX will be willing to keep the two Friday night comedies together – for at least one more year.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2019/03/08/the-night-king-is-coming-and-this-time-its-personal/ The Night King is coming and this time it’s personal. – foolish watcher

    […] Last Man Standing will definitely be back on FOX. The Cool Kids will be, too. Probably. […]

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