Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 27 of the 2018-19 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Gifted||🐻 🐻||0.61||0.01|
|Proven Innocent (F)||🐻 🐻||0.43||0.01|
|Lethal Weapon||🐻 🐻||0.71||0.11|
|The Passage||🐻 🐻||0.91||0.31|
|The Orville||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.76||0.16|
|Star||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.13||0.53|
|The Cool Kids (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.88||0.66|
|Empire||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.44||0.84|
|Last Man Standing (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.14||1.03|
“Star” has hit some ratings turbulence since coming back from its midseason break this year. The FOX drama, which is currently in its third season, tied its season low this past week with a 0.9 rating in adults 18-49, three-tenths lower than its fall finale’s 1.2.
With that being said, the Bear remains confident that FOX will be bringing “Star” back for a fourth season. Despite its ratings decline these past few weeks, the series still remains the network’s third-highest-rated drama, and its fifth-highest-rated title overall.
After considering the show’s still solid ratings performance this season, along with the added advantage it gets by falling under the third season rule – “Star” is still likely to be renewed for the 2019-20 season.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.