Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 3 of the 2017-18 season. They look good for one of the network’s rookies.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Exorcist (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.43 -0.09
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.67 -0.03
The Mick (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.87 0.17
The Last Man on Earth (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.9 0.2
Gotham 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.9 0.2
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.4
The Orville (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Bob’s Burgers (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.2 0.5
Family Guy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.3 0.6
Ghosted (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.27 0.57
Lucifer 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
The Gifted (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.35 0.65
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.57 0.87
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.1 1.4
The Simpsons Renewed 1.63 0.93

 

FOX became the only broadcast network to have shows based on both DC and Marvel comic properties when “The Gifted” joined “Lucifer” and “Gotham.” It’s a distinction that will likely continue into next season.

“Lucifer” is a Third Season Rule show, and “The Gifted” has gotten off to a good enough start that, as a FOX-owned show, should keep it around into 2018-19.

“The Gifted’s” 1.35 rating is currently the network’s third-best drama, behind “Empire” and “Star.” It’s also built on “Lucifer” in each of its first two weeks.

The Bear is betting the show’s floor isn’t too much lower and thus feels comfortable predicting it as a likely renewal.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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