Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 4 of the 2018-19 season, and why one group of senior citizens will probably get to keep their party going.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|REL (O)||🐻 🐻||0.65||0.05|
|The Gifted (O)||🐻 🐻||0.73||0.13|
|Lethal Weapon||🐻 🐻||0.75||0.15|
|The Resident (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.03||0.43|
|Family Guy (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.08||0.48|
|Bob’s Burgers (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.15||0.55|
|Star (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.28||0.68|
|The Simpsons (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.38||0.78|
|9-1-1 (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.48||0.88|
|The Cool Kids (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.13||1.02|
|Empire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.65||1.05|
|Last Man Standing (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.45||1.47|
“The Cool Kids” don’t have to worry about their pensions running out any time soon. Coming off of FOX’s decision to pick up the freshman comedy for a full season last week, the Bear is more confident than ever about it’s season 2 chances.
The show has averaged a solid 1.1 rating in adults 18-49, and along with “Last Man Standing” (still a sure bet for renewal), has played a major role in giving FOX its four consecutive Friday night wins among the big 4 networks. The Bear thinks the network will want to keep that going for as long as they can.
The forecast isn’t looking as good for “The Gifted,” which has been underperforming this season, and currently, is a likely bet for cancellation. The Bear has also tentatively moved “Lethal Weapon” into the same category. Call it a hunch, but the Bear is starting to think the show’s behind-the-scenes drama may be too much trouble for FOX to want bring it back next year.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.