Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 4 of the 2017-18 season. They’re optimistic on a Sunday comedy.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Exorcist (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.43 -0.09
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.65 -0.05
The Mick (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.85 0.15
The Last Man on Earth (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.88 0.18
Gotham 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.9 0.2
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.05 0.35
The Orville (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Bob’s Burgers (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 0.53
Family Guy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.58
Ghosted (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 0.53
Lucifer 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
The Gifted (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.27 0.57
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.5 0.8
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.03 1.33
The Simpsons Renewed 1.63 0.93

 

“Ghosted” is doing no better in the same-day ratings this fall than “Son of Zorn” did over the first month of last season. But while “Son of Zorn” is no more, the Bear thinks “Ghosted” has a better chance of survival.

That’s in part because where “Son of Zorn” had a post-NFL showcase before the official start of the season in 2016, “Ghosted” got no such extra help. Yet its numbers are just about the same, give or take a few hundredths of a point.

Furthermore, “Ghosted” has benefited from only one NFL overrun so far, where “Zorn” had two at this time. That puts “Ghosted” a little ahead of its predecessor and thus in a better position to be renewed.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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