Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 5 of the 2018-19 season, and why one returning drama’s consistent ratings performance has helped its season 3 chances.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
REL (O) 🐻 0.65 0.05
The Gifted (O) 🐻 🐻 0.73 0.13
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 0.75 0.15
The Resident (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.02 0.42
Family Guy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.48
Bob’s Burgers (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.15 0.55
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.68
The Simpsons (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.38 0.78
9-1-1 (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.44 0.84
The Cool Kids (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.13 1.02
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.65 1.05
Last Man Standing (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.45 1.47

 

Since most of FOX’s shows took week 5 off for the network’s coverage of this year’s World Series, there weren’t many changes to the network’s renew/cancel standings.

With that being said, the Bear considers it very likely that “The Resident” will be renewed for a third season. Along with its Monday night lead-out, “9-1-1,” it was the only other show on the network to air a new episode last week, and like it has most of the season thus far, held steady week-to-week.

The Matt Czuchry-led medical drama maintained the same 1.0 rating in adults 18-49 as its previous three episodes, all of which were down only a tenth from its premiere’s 1.1. Considering how quickly FOX went ahead and gave the show a full season 2 order as well, the Bear thinks the future is looking good for “The Resident.”

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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