Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 6 of the 2018-19 season, and why one superhero show’s second season ratings drop hints at it likely being canceled this year.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
REL (O) 🐻 0.64 0.04
The Gifted (O) 🐻 🐻 0.70 0.10
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 0.72 0.12
The Resident (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.02 0.42
Family Guy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.48
Bob’s Burgers (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.18 0.58
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.20 0.60
9-1-1 (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.43 0.83
The Simpsons (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.48 0.88
The Cool Kids (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.94
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.56 0.96
Last Man Standing (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.40 1.40

 

“The Gifted” is in a sophomore slump right now, and The Bear doesn’t think it’ll survive it.

With a 0.7 L+SD average among adults 18-49, the comic book show is the lowest-rated title on FOX that’s not called “REL.” It’s fallen noticeably from its first season’s 1.0 average, and doesn’t look like it’ll be turning things around either. The Bear could be wrong about that, but with the way “The Gifted’s” ratings have been going this season, he doesn’t see it coming back again next year.

On the positive side, The Bear still believes that FOX’s Monday night primetime lineup will remain intact next year, as both “9-1-1” and “The Resident” continue to perform well together week-to-week.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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