Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 6 of the 2019-20 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Bless the Harts||Renewed||0.82||0.32|
|Almost Family||🐻 🐻||0.67||0.17|
|The Resident||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.73||0.23|
|Bob’s Burgers||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.80||0.30|
|Family Guy||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.82||0.32|
|Prodigal Son||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.85||0.35|
|911||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.52||1.02|
The Bear is making a bit of an obvious call today; “9-1-1” is a sure bet to be renewed.
The third-year drama has averaged a strong 1.5 live + same day rating in the adults 18-49 demo so far this fall, which not only makes it FOX’s highest-rated scripted series, but also the second-highest-rated scripted series on the air right now (behind only NBC’s “This is Us).
In addition to being a solid linear performer, “9-1-1” continues to generate strong gains in the delayed viewing numbers as well. It’s co-created by Ryan Murphy, which gives it added protection, and has a new Rob Lowe-starring spin-off set to premiere in the winter.
So barring any truly unforeseen, behind-the-scenes decisions or problems, there’s no way that FOX will be saying goodbye to “9-1-1” this year.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2020|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2020|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2019-20 season, replacement level is a 0.5 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.5 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.