Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 10 of the 2018-19 season, which aren’t looking good for one veteran Friday drama.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|I Feel Bad (O)||DSW||0.53||-0.07|
|Will & Grace (O)||Renewed||0.80||0.20|
|The Good Place (O)||Renewed||0.84||0.24|
|Midnight, Texas (F) (O)||🐻||0.40||-0.03|
|Blindspot (F)||🐻 🐻||0.44||0.03|
|Superstore (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.89||0.29|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.91||0.31|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.13||0.53|
|Chicago Med (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.21||0.61|
|Chicago Fire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.30||0.70|
|New Amsterdam (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.32||0.72|
|Manifest||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.44||0.84|
|This is Us||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.22||1.62|
Before we get to the main discussion this week: As most of you already know, NBC went ahead and renewed “The Good Place” for a fourth season earlier this week. This didn’t come as much of a surprise, since The Bear had previously predicated it would be renewed.
However, the future isn’t looking nearly as good for “Blindspot.” The veteran drama series, which is currently in its fourth season, has been pulling in disappointing ratings so far this fall. With a 0.44 L+SD average rating among adults 18-49, it’s currently NBC’s second lowest-rated show.
That puts it just barely ahead of its Friday night partner, “Midnight, Texas,” which The Bear also expects to be canceled this season. So don’t be surprised to see NBC debut a whole new Friday night lineup next season.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.