Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 11 of the 2018-19 season, and why one comedy’s steady performance signals good news to come.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|I Feel Bad (O)||DSW||0.51||-0.09|
|Will & Grace (O)||Renewed||0.79||0.19|
|The Good Place (O)||Renewed||0.83||0.23|
|Midnight, Texas (F) (O)||🐻||0.40||-0.03|
|Blindspot (F)||🐻 🐻||0.45||0.04|
|Superstore (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.89||0.29|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.91||0.31|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.13||0.53|
|Chicago Med (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.21||0.61|
|Chicago Fire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.30||0.70|
|New Amsterdam (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.32||0.72|
|Manifest||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.44||0.84|
|This is Us||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.22||1.62|
The Bear has been impressed by “Superstore’s” performance this fall, and thinks it has more than earned its place as a likely renewal.
The veteran NBC comedy, currently in its fourth season, has held onto the same 0.9 rating for almost the entirety of its run this fall, down just a tenth from its third season’s 1.0 average. It is NBC’s highest-rated comedy, and even more impressively, has achieved a consistent gain in total viewers for five straight weeks – culminating in a season high 3.36 million viewers last week.
The network just renewed “The Good Place” for a fourth season, which as “Superstore’s” lead-out has been performing slightly lower than it, but almost as consistently, so the Bear is close to saying “Superstore” is a lock to be renewed. But for now, he’ll settle for just calling that a very likely outcome.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.