Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 11 of the 2018-19 season, and why one comedy’s steady performance signals good news to come.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
I Feel Bad (O) DSW 0.51 -0.09
Will & Grace (O) Renewed 0.79 0.19
The Good Place (O) Renewed 0.83 0.23
Midnight, Texas (F) (O) 🐻 0.40 -0.03
Blindspot (F) 🐻 🐻 0.45 0.04
Superstore (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.89 0.29
Law & Order: SVU (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.91 0.31
Chicago PD (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.13 0.53
Chicago Med (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 0.61
Chicago Fire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.30 0.70
New Amsterdam (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.32 0.72
Manifest 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.44 0.84
This is Us 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.22 1.62

 

The Bear has been impressed by “Superstore’s” performance this fall, and thinks it has more than earned its place as a likely renewal.

The veteran NBC comedy, currently in its fourth season, has held onto the same 0.9 rating for almost the entirety of its run this fall, down just a tenth from its third season’s 1.0 average. It is NBC’s highest-rated comedy, and even more impressively, has achieved a consistent gain in total viewers for five straight weeks – culminating in a season high 3.36 million viewers last week.

The network just renewed “The Good Place” for a fourth season, which as “Superstore’s” lead-out has been performing slightly lower than it, but almost as consistently, so the Bear is close to saying “Superstore” is a lock to be renewed. But for now, he’ll settle for just calling that a very likely outcome.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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