Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 11 of the 2017-18 season, which like a Friday show’s chances to come back.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Blacklist||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.93||0.23|
|The Brave||🐻 🐻||1.02||0.32|
|Great News (O)||🐻 🐻||0.97||0.27|
|Law & Order True Crime (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.04||0.34|
|Blindspot (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.68||0.27|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.17||0.47|
|Superstore (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.14||0.44|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.28||0.58|
|The Good Place (O)||Renewed||1.17||0.47|
|Chicago Fire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.18||0.48|
|Chicago Med (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.27||0.57|
|Will & Grace (O)||Renewed||1.96||1.26|
|This Is Us||Renewed||2.79||2.09|
“Blindspot” has partial Third Season Rule protection this season. It’s in its third full season on NBC, and although it’s produced by an outside studio (Warner Bros.), it entered the season as a likely pickup.
Its numbers in its new home on Friday have done nothing to dissuade the Bear from that original stance. “Blindspot” is drawing ratings slightly behind those of “Grimm” last season (0.7 vs. 0.8), but it’s shown itself to be a fairly capable replacement on Fridays.
“Grimm” had a home for several years on Fridays. NBC would do well not to mess with “Blindspot” there.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.