Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 18 of the 2017-18 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Blacklist||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.95||0.25|
|Taken (F) (O)||🐻 🐻||0.5||0.02|
|The Brave||🐻 🐻||0.93||0.23|
|Great News (O)||🐻 🐻||0.73||0.03|
|Law & Order True Crime (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.04||0.34|
|Blindspot (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.68||0.27|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.22||0.52|
|Superstore (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.13||0.43|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.3||0.6|
|The Good Place (O)||Renewed||1.11||0.41|
|Chicago Fire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.12||0.42|
|Chicago Med (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.33||0.63|
|Will & Grace (O)||Renewed||1.75||1.05|
|This Is Us||Renewed||2.74||2.04|
“Great News” wrapped up its second season last week. The Bear thinks it will be the show’s last.
The groundswell of TV Twitter making cases for the show to return ignore the fact that its ratings are lower than all but one half-hour comedy on the Big 4 networks this season. Lower than “The Mayor,” lower than “Me, Myself & I.”
One could argue that the trough it created following “Will & Grace” has adversely affected a far more valuable asset to NBC, “Chicago Fire.” And even with the highest-rated comedy NBC has had in several seasons as a lead-in for most of its run, “Great News” still came in below its first season last spring.
NBC has to think it can do better coming out of “Will & Grace” next season. “Great News” is likely done.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.