NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 2 of the 2016-17 season looks at what rebuilding mode means for the network’s comedy brand, and why it means a show with average ratings is safe for now.
Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the new methodology.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Blindspot||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.3||0.6|
|The Blacklist||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.2||0.5|
|Chicago Med (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.35||0.65|
|Superstore (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.4||0.7|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.55||0.85|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.7||1.0|
|The Good Place (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.67||0.97|
|This Is Us||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.7||2.0|
NBC spent several years disassembling its comedy brand, plucking critically well-liked but low-rated shows off the air in favor of allegedly “broader” shows that turned out to be just as modestly rated.
Now the network is back where it started, with “Superstore” and “The Good Place” parked on Thursdays and receiving good reaction from critics … and pretty average ratings.
“The Good Place” will get a longer look from the Bear later in the season. As for “Superstore,” its 1.4 for the first two weeks of the season is a little behind its Season 1 average (even taking out its post-“Voice” premiere). NBC will live with that.
“Superstore” was the network’s only comedy that even broke above a 1.0 last season, and thanks to several seasons of fumbling around, NBC’s comedy brand was essentially gone before it came along. There’s no “Big Bang Theory” or “Modern Family” to build around at NBC, so starting smaller is the way the network’s going for a while. “Superstore” will benefit from that.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2017|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.