Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 22 of the 2018-19 season, and why one long-running title isn’t going anywhere this season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Midnight, Texas (F) (O)||Canceled||0.40||-0.03|
|Will & Grace (O)||Renewed||0.78||0.18|
|The Good Place (O)||Renewed||0.83||0.23|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine (O)||Renewed||0.90||0.30|
|Chicago PD (O)||Renewed||1.14||0.54|
|New Amsterdam (O)||Renewed||1.21||0.61|
|Chicago Med (O)||Renewed||1.25||0.65|
|Chicago Fire (O)||Renewed||1.26||0.66|
|I Feel Bad (O)||DSW||0.49||-0.11|
|Blindspot (F)||🐻 🐻||0.49||0.10|
|The Blacklist (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.62||0.29|
|Superstore (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.87||0.27|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.89||0.29|
|Manifest||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.25||0.65|
|This is Us||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.11||1.51|
A few things of note have happened since the Bear last discussed NBC’s renew/cancel standings. Over the past few days, the network went ahead and renewed all three of its “Chicago” shows, along with “Brooklyn Nine-Nine” for the 2019-20 TV season.
None of those choices came as much of a surprise, as the Bear had suspected NBC would be happy enough with “Nine-Nine’s” performance to give it another season, and had considered the “One Chicago” lineup to be certain renewals for quite some time now. All of which is to say, the Bear’s current streak of correct calls this season continues to hold strong (knock on wood).
Today, the Bear is going ahead and making, what he considers, to be another easy call as well – “Law & Order: SVU” is likely to be renewed.
The long-running procedural remains one of the network’s most consistent ratings performers, and with a solid 0.89 live + same day average rating among adults 18-49 this season, the Bear doesn’t imagine NBC will be saying goodbye to it anytime soon if they don’t have to.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.