Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 24 of the 2018-19 season, and why one crime dramedy’s slow start this season has already placed it in an uncertain position.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Midnight, Texas (F) (O) Canceled 0.40 -0.03
The Blacklist (F) Renewed 0.61 0.27
Will & Grace (O) Renewed 0.76 0.16
The Good Place (O) Renewed 0.83 0.23
Superstore (O) Renewed 0.86 0.26
Brooklyn Nine-Nine (O) Renewed 0.84 0.24
Chicago PD (O) Renewed 1.14 0.54
New Amsterdam (O) Renewed 1.19 0.59
Chicago Med (O) Renewed 1.24 0.64
Chicago Fire (O) Renewed 1.26 0.66
I Feel Bad (O) DSW 0.49 -0.11
A.P. Bio (O) 🐻 🐻 0.50 -0.10
Good Girls (O) 🐻 🐻 0.65 0.05
Blindspot (F) 🐻 🐻 0.49 0.10
Law & Order: SVU (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.89 0.29
The Enemy Within (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.05 0.45
Manifest 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.25 0.65
This is Us 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.08 1.48

 

In its first season, “Good Girls” was more of a solid ratings performer for NBC than it was a hit for the network, but in its second season, the crime series has taken a turn for the worse.

The Christina Hendricks, Mae Whitman, and Retta-led sophomore series premiered with a 0.7 live + same day rating among adults 18-49, lower than any of its first season’s ratings, before falling another tenth in its second week as well.

Moved from its original Monday night, post-“Voice” time slot to Sunday nights at 10 p.m., the series is one of the network’s lowest-rated shows of the season so far. It is currently scoring higher than only a handful of other NBC series, almost all of which are either already canceled or expected to be by the end of the season.

Now, since it’s so early into its new season, the Bear is only tentatively calling “Good Girls” a likely cancellation for now, with the possibility of a ratings upswing or strong delayed viewing performance still open for consideration. But should “Good Girls” fail to improve its ratings performance moving forward, then the Bear doesn’t think even its international streaming deal with Netflix will be able to save it from the chopping block this year.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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