NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 27 of the 2016-17 season say farewell to a long-running Friday show.
Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Grimm (F) (O)||Final season||0.79||0.43|
|Emerald City (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.69||0.29|
|The Blacklist: Redemption||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.78||0.08|
|Powerless||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.82||0.12|
|Shades of Blue (O)||Renewed||0.88||0.18|
|Trial & Error||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.18||0.48|
|The Blacklist||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.06||0.36|
|Blindspot||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.06||0.36|
|Timeless||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.12||0.42|
|Chicago Med (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.3||0.6|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.43||0.73|
|The Good Place (O)||Renewed||1.29||0.59|
|Taken (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.23||0.53|
|Chicago Justice (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.27||0.57|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.45||0.75|
|Chicago Fire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.61||0.91|
|This Is Us||Renewed||2.68||1.98|
“Grimm” comes to an end Friday, after six seasons of not having to look over its shoulder for the Bear all that often. It was a solid performer on Friday nights for most of its run.
And now that it’s leaving, NBC’s future on the night could be — wait for it — rather grim.
Friday shows tend to be viewed by a somewhat older audience, and the overall circulation on the night is generally lower than on other weeknights. Still, ABC and CBS have found stability and success there with shows like “Last Man Standing,” “Shark Tank,” “Hawaii Five-0” and “Blue Bloods.” NBC had the same with “Grimm” and was wise to park it on Friday for all but a handful of its 123 episodes.
It’s going to be tough to replicate that longevity in the future. The broadcast business is in decline, as we all know, and the Peak TV era makes it harder for any new show to get a foothold on any night. One thing the Friday stalwarts have in common is they’re all holdovers from the pre-streaming era that locked in loyal audiences years ago.
All shows end, and “Grimm’s” declines last season and this suggest it’s closing out at the right time. But unless it moves a show with “Chicago” in its title to Fridays next season, NBC will likely look back wistfully on the 0.8 rating “Grimm” has put up this season.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2017|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.