Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 27 of the 2017-18 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Taken (F) (O)||🐻 🐻||0.44||-0.07|
|The Brave||🐻 🐻||0.91||0.21|
|Great News (O)||🐻 🐻||0.73||0.03|
|Champions (O)||🐻 🐻||0.63||-0.07|
|AP Bio (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.83||0.13|
|The Blacklist||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.96||0.26|
|Law & Order True Crime (O)||🐻 🐻||1.04||0.34|
|Rise (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.03||0.33|
|Blindspot (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.66||0.24|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.22||0.52|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.28||0.58|
|Good Girls (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.14||0.44|
|The Good Place (O)||Renewed||1.11||0.41|
|Chicago Fire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.11||0.41|
|Chicago Med (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.32||0.62|
|Will & Grace (O)||Renewed||1.53||0.83|
|This Is Us||Renewed||3.07||2.37|
“Rise” had semi-encouraging ratings after two weeks on the air. Its second episode fell only a tenth of a point in adults 18-49 from its premiere, which followed the finale of “This Is Us.”
Then last week came, and the show dropped 27 percent from episode 2, making a more noticeable crater between “The Voice” and “Chicago Med.” ABC had outsize ratings last week thanks to the “Roseanne” halo, but still.
As the Bear has said about a couple other spring shows, “Rise” needs to find its floor pretty quickly. If it does that, NBC can invoke the “Smash” rule and give it a second season. If the trend line continues down, though, it’ll be hard to justify a second season.
The Bear will leave “Rise” as a tossup for now, subject to revision in the next few weeks.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.