Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 28 of the 2017-18 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Taken (F) (O)||🐻 🐻||0.44||-0.07|
|The Brave||🐻 🐻||0.91||0.21|
|Great News (O)||🐻 🐻||0.73||0.03|
|Champions (O)||🐻 🐻||0.6||-0.10|
|AP Bio (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.8||0.1|
|The Blacklist||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.96||0.26|
|Law & Order True Crime (O)||🐻 🐻||1.04||0.34|
|Rise (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.98||0.28|
|Blindspot (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.66||0.24|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.22||0.52|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.28||0.58|
|Good Girls (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.1||0.4|
|The Good Place (O)||Renewed||1.11||0.41|
|Chicago Fire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.1||0.4|
|Chicago Med (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.3||0.6|
|Will & Grace (O)||Renewed||1.49||0.79|
|This Is Us||Renewed||3.07||2.37|
This has not been a great season for NBC’s new series. Putting aside the “Will & Grace” revival, none of the other six rookie shows has drawn a big enough audience to be considered a lock for renewal.
Odds are, however, that the network won’t just wipe the slate entirely clean going into next season. Of the new shows not named “Will & Grace,” the Bear thinks “Good Girls” has the best chance at returning, thus it gets a bump up to likely renewal.
The show seems to have found its level in recent weeks, holding around a 1.0 in adults 18-49. Granted, it’s not a terribly high level, but it’s one NBC can likely live with given the state of most 10 p.m. dramas.”Good Girls” is also produced by NBC’s sister studio, and ties usually go to the in-house production.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.