NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 3 of the 2016-17 season suggest a show moving to a new night might not be a death knell, at least not yet.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the new methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Blindspot 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.3 0.6
The Blacklist 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.2 0.5
Timeless 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.8 1.1
Chicago Med (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.33 0.63
Superstore (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.4 0.7
Chicago PD (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.5 0.8
The Good Place (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.6 0.9
Law & Order: SVU (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.6 0.9
This Is Us 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.7 2.0

 

“Blindspot’s” ratings have predictably fallen off since it moved away from the safe haven of “The Voice.” Somewhat surprisingly, however, they’ve been pretty stable in the Wednesday lead-off spot.

All three of those episodes have scored a 1.3 — way short of the show’s early performance last season but in line with where it ended. It’s also been a mild upgrade over “The Mysteries of Laura” in the timeslot so far.

If — and it’s a big one — “Blindspot” can maintain that sort of number for a good portion of the season, it will likely end up at roughly average numbers for a Big 4 series. That might be enough to keep the show afloat.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2016/10/11/another-day-another-go-round-in-the-trump-shitshow/ Another day, another go round in the Trump shitshow. – foolish watcher

    […] making a strong comeback; It’s looking like The CW’s No Tomorrow is off to an OK start; Blindspot is not doing great, but probably won’t be canceled; ABC’s Conviction, on the other hand…; and Scream […]

    Like

blog comments powered by Disqus