Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 31 of the 2018-19 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Midnight, Texas (F) (O)||Canceled||0.40||-0.03|
|Good Girls (O)||Renewed||0.59||-0.01|
|Will & Grace (O)||Renewed||0.74||0.14|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine (O)||Renewed||0.74||0.14|
|The Good Place (O)||Renewed||0.83||0.23|
|The Blacklist (F)||Renewed||0.58||0.23|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||Renewed||0.85||0.25|
|New Amsterdam (O)||Renewed||1.11||0.51|
|Chicago PD (O)||Renewed||1.12||0.52|
|Chicago Med (O)||Renewed||1.22||0.62|
|Chicago Fire (O)||Renewed||1.24||0.64|
|I Feel Bad (O)||DSW||0.49||-0.11|
|A.P. Bio (O)||🐻 🐻||0.49||-0.11|
|Blindspot (F)||🐻 🐻||0.47||0.07|
|The Village (O)||🐻 🐻||0.68||0.08|
|The Enemy Within (O)||🐻 🐻||0.80||0.20|
|This is Us||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.01||1.41|
Even after giving it several more weeks to prove itself, the Bear still thinks “The Village” is likely to be canceled after just one season.
The freshman drama premiered with a low 0.8 rating among adults 18-49, and since then, its first season’s 18-49 average has fallen to a 0.68. So, after failing to improve its ratings performance in its recent episodes, the Bear still feels pretty confident in saying “The Village” won’t be coming back next year.
Additionally, the Bear has moved “Abby’s” from a likely cancellation to a sure bet, after the freshman comedy posted its first 0.3 rating last week. All of the Bear’s remaining NBC predictions are the same as they were in his last post.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.