Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 4 of the 2018-19 season, and how one freshman drama’s renewal chances continue to look good.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Will & Grace (O) Renewed 0.90 0.30
I Feel Bad (O) 🐻 0.60 0.00
Blindspot (F) 🐻 🐻 0.45 0.04
Superstore (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.87 0.27
The Good Place (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.88 0.28
Law & Order: SVU (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.00 0.40
Chicago PD (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.18 0.58
Chicago Med (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.25 0.65
Chicago Fire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.33 0.73
New Amsterdam (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.48 0.88
Manifest 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.78 1.18
This is Us 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.48 1.88

 

“New Amsterdam” probably doesn’t have to worry about keeping the lights on next year.

The freshman medical drama has been one of the season’s best rookie performers, and with a 1.5 average among adults 18-49, is currently NBC’s third highest-rated scripted series. Taking into account that it was also the season’s first freshman show to receive a full-season pickup, and “New Amsterdam” is looking more and more like a likely bet for renewal.

The same cannot be said for “Blindspot,” which even with the Friday night multiplier, is just barely staying above replacement level. Aside from “I Feel Bad,” it has the lowest Renew/Cancel Index number on NBC, and in all likelihood, won’t be returning for a fifth season next year.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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