Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 8 of the 2017-18 season, which take a rookie down a notch.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Blacklist||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.93||0.23|
|The Brave||🐻 🐻||1.04||0.34|
|Great News (O)||🐻 🐻||0.97||0.27|
|Law & Order True Crime (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.04||0.34|
|Blindspot (F)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.68||0.27|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.14||0.44|
|Superstore (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.15||0.45|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.23||0.53|
|The Good Place (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.17||0.47|
|Chicago Fire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.18||0.48|
|Will & Grace (O)||Renewed||1.98||1.28|
|This Is Us||Renewed||2.83||2.13|
In announcing a bit of midseason scheduling last week, NBC also tucked in a note that “The Brave” wouldn’t go past 13 episodes this season. It came complete with a praise quote from a network honcho and the verbiage “a decision on a second season will be made at a later date.”
The network doth protest too much. The Bear cast a skeptical eye on “Brave” back in week 1, and the show has done precious little to turn that opinion around since.
“The Brave” is running behind “Timeless'” average last season in the same spot (even accounting for a year-to-year dip by “The Voice”) and in raw numbers is scarcely better than “Taken” was last spring. None of that makes a convincing case for renewal, so “The Brave” is down to a likely cancellation.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.