Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 10 of the 2018-19 season, and why one freshman drama’s steady growth has improved its chances at a second season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||Final Season||0.13||0.03|
|Dynasty||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.19||0.09|
|All American||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.26||0.16|
|DC’s Legends of Tomorrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.30||0.20|
|Legacies||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.32||0.22|
|Black Lightning||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.33||0.23|
|Charmed||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.33||0.23|
|Supergirl||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.38||0.28|
|Arrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.39||0.29|
|Supernatural||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.41||0.31|
|Riverdale||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.43||0.33|
|The Flash||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.68||0.58|
Most of the CW’s renew/cancel standings are the same as the last time the Bear checked in, but with one notable change.
The Bear has cautiously moved “All American” to a likely renewal this week, for a couple of reasons. The first is the CW’s tendency to renew even their lowest rated shows, especially if they are on the receiving end of positive reviews, which “All American” has been up to this point.
Additionally, the series not only managed a ratings uptick after its initial few episodes, but has done a fairly good job at maintaining the same 0.3 the past several weeks. It currently has a 0.26 average among adults 18-49, placing it ahead of both “Dynasty” and “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” in the ratings. While that’s not the kind of performance that would make it a lock for renewal, it could be enough to earn a second season from the network.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.