Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 11 of the 2018-19 season. A sophomore superhero series is down noticeably from its first season, but will probably still stick around.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||Final Season||0.13||0.03|
|Dynasty||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.19||0.09|
|All American||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.26||0.16|
|DC’s Legends of Tomorrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.30||0.20|
|Charmed||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.32||0.22|
|Legacies||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.33||0.23|
|Black Lightning||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.33||0.23|
|Supergirl||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.38||0.28|
|Arrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.39||0.29|
|Supernatural||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.43||0.33|
|Riverdale||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.43||0.33|
|The Flash||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.68||0.58|
Like most returning shows this fall, “Black Lightning” has experienced a notable drop from its previous season to its current. The show is currently down from a 0.60 live + same day average among adults 18-49 to a 0.33 average so far this year.
On most networks, that could spell bad news for a show’s future, but it doesn’t carry quite as much weight on the CW. “Black Lightning” is one of the network’s flagship superhero series, is one of the most critically-acclaimed out of that lineup, and considering the network’s proven commitment to even its lowest-performing shows, the Bear would be surprised to see the CW part with it after just two seasons.
The same goes for all of the network’s current superhero titles, though, the Bear is keeping an eye on “Legends of Tomorrow,” which has been averaging a consistent 0.3, but was excluded from this year’s crossover event.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.