The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 22 of the 2016-17 season reward consistency for a veteran show.
Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Vampire Diaries||Final season||0.36||0.16|
|Frequency||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.28||0.08|
|No Tomorrow||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.28||0.08|
|The 100||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.4||0.2|
|Riverdale||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.45||0.25|
|Legends of Tomorrow||Renewed||0.69||0.49|
|Jane the Virgin||Renewed||0.37||0.17|
“The 100” has posted a 0.4 rating in adults 18-49 in each of its first three episodes this season. That consistency is enough to earn it an upgrade to likely renewal on The CW.
A 0.4 average puts the show in the middle of The CW pack for the season so far, behind the four DC Comics shows but ahead of everything else save “Riverdale,” which is a few hundredths of a point above it. The network is already saying goodbye to at least one show, “The Vampire Diaries,” and is making just a half-dozen pilots as is typical of recent years.
All of which means there’s likely room for “The 100” on next season’s schedule.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2017|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. There is little variance for The CW on Friday, so the multiplier is not used.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.