Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 24 of the 2018-19 season, along with an easy call for one of the network’s few remaining, non-renewed shows this season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend Final Season 0.12 0.02
Dynasty Renewed 0.18 0.08
Charmed Renewed 0.29 0.19
DC’s Legends of Tomorrow Renewed 0.31 0.21
Black Lightning Renewed 0.31 0.21
Legacies Renewed 0.31 0.21
Supergirl Renewed 0.39 0.29
Riverdale Renewed 0.40 0.30
Arrow Renewed 0.41 0.31
Supernatural Renewed 0.42 0.32
The Flash Renewed 0.67 0.57
All American 🐻 🐻 0.23 0.13
Roswell, New Mexico 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.31 0.21

 

The Bear has held off on making any CW posts the past few weeks for a pretty simple reason – the network has left very little to talk about regarding the futures of its shows this season.

Almost all of the CW’s titles have been renewed, with only the fates of “All American” and “Roswell, New Mexico” up in the air, and the Bear remains very confident in his current predictions for both shows.

So with that being said, the Bear still considers “Roswell, New Mexico” a likely renewal. Several weeks into its first season, the freshman drama is tied with “Legacies” and “Charmed” (both of which have been renewed) as the network’s highest-rated rookie title of the season so far, and has been averaging more viewers per episode than both of those other shows.

With “The Flash” as its lead-in Tuesday nights, “Roswell” has managed to generate the kind of solid ratings performance that should very easily earn it another season on the CW.

Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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