Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 27 of the 2017-18 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|iZombie||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.24||0.04|
|Life Sentence||🐻 🐻||0.18||-0.02|
|Jane the Virgin||Renewed||0.24||0.04|
|Legends of Tomorrow||Renewed||0.49||0.29|
The short answer to where the two shows in the headline stand is “outside looking in.” But one is more outside.
“Life Sentence” is a likely cancellation after The CW decided to send the show to Fridays starting in late April. Yeah, the network did the same move with the similarly low-rated “Dynasty” — but that was to make room for “Life Sentence” on Wednesday, and it was part of a planned midseason rollout.
Unplanned schedule changes for low-rated shows aren’t usually harbingers of good news, hence the downgrade.
As for “iZombie,” it’s remaining a tossup for now. With The CW expanding its footprint next season, it seems likely the network will keep at least one of “iZombie” or “The 100,” which premieres in a few weeks. An up-or-down prediction will follow soon after that.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so ownership of series isn’t a factor.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. There is little variance for The CW on Friday, so the multiplier is not used.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.