Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 3 of the 2018-19 season, and how one reboot’s solid debut hints at a possibly promising future.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||Final Season||0.1||0.0|
|All American||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.2||0.1|
|Dynasty||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.2||0.1|
|Black Lightning||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.4||0.3|
|Riverdale||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.5||0.4|
|Supernatural||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.5||0.4|
|Charmed||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.5||0.4|
|Supergirl||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.5||0.4|
|The Flash||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.8||0.7|
“Charmed” worked its magic Sunday night, and debuted to solid ratings on the CW.
The reboot earned a 0.5 rating among adults 18-49, making it the network’s highest-rated series debut this fall, and tying with “Supergirl,” “Supernatural,” and “Riverdale” as its second best premiere of the season so far – period. Should it stick close to those same kinds of numbers in the coming weeks, then the Bear feels confident about its season 2 chances.
The CW’s other freshman series, “All American,” got off to a lower start than “Charmed” did though, and with a 0.2, is already behind where the short-lived “Valor” was this time last year. Given the CW’s bias towards renewal, the Bear is leaving it as a tossup for now, but will be watching for any ratings declines in the coming weeks.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.