Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 3 of the 2018-19 season, and how one reboot’s solid debut hints at a possibly promising future.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend Final Season 0.1 0.0
All American 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.2 0.1
Dynasty 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.2 0.1
Black Lightning 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.4 0.3
Riverdale 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.5 0.4
Supernatural 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.5 0.4
Charmed 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.5 0.4
Supergirl 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.5 0.4
The Flash 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.8 0.7

 

“Charmed” worked its magic Sunday night, and debuted to solid ratings on the CW.

The reboot earned a 0.5 rating among adults 18-49, making it the network’s highest-rated series debut this fall, and tying with “Supergirl,” “Supernatural,” and “Riverdale” as its second best premiere of the season so far – period. Should it stick close to those same kinds of numbers in the coming weeks, then the Bear feels confident about its season 2 chances.

The CW’s other freshman series, “All American,” got off to a lower start than “Charmed” did though, and with a 0.2, is already behind where the short-lived “Valor” was this time last year. Given the CW’s bias towards renewal, the Bear is leaving it as a tossup for now, but will be watching for any ratings declines in the coming weeks.

Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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