Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 4 of the 2018-19 season, and why one high school drama’s low ratings may not bode well for its season 2 prospects.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend Final Season 0.10 0.00
All American 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.20 0.10
Dynasty 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.20 0.10
Black Lightning 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.35 0.25
Arrow 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.40 0.30
Charmed 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.45 0.35
Supergirl 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.45 0.35
Riverdale 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.45 0.35
Supernatural 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.50 0.40
The Flash 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.75 0.65

 

So far, the future of “All American” is looking uncertain at best.

The new high school drama from the CW has been averaging a 0.2 rating in adults 18-49, and currently ranks as the network’s lowest-rated rookie title. On any other network, that would be a death sentence, but since the CW has a bias towards renewal and it’s only two episodes into its season, the Bear is going to keep it as a tossup for the time being.

“Charmed” fell a tenth in its second week, from its premiere’s 0.5 to a 0.4, but the Bear still believes it’ll be back next year. He also feels confident calling “The Flash” a sure bet for renewal now. It’s currently down from its previous season’s average, but is still the network’s highest-rated show by a considerable margin, and the Bear can’t imagine the CW wanting to part ways with it any time soon.

Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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