Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 5 of the 2018-19 season, and why the drama of “Riverdale” will probably continue for another season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||Final Season||0.10||0.00|
|All American||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.23||0.13|
|Dynasty||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.20||0.10|
|Legacies||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.3||0.2|
|DC’s Legends of Tomorrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.3||0.2|
|Black Lightning||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.37||0.27|
|Arrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.4||0.30|
|Charmed||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.40||0.30|
|Supergirl||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.43||0.33|
|Riverdale||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.47||0.37|
|Supernatural||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.47||0.37|
|The Flash||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.73||0.63|
In its first three weeks this season, “Riverdale” failed to match the kind of series high numbers that its second season premiered with last year, but the Bear doesn’t believe the show has any reason to worry about its future.
For starters, the CW teen drama has been performing on par with the back half of its last season up to this point, with a 0.47 average among adults 18-49. It’s also currently one of the network’s three highest-rated shows, and is off to a better start than any of the network’s other titles in the live +7 ratings so far this season.
Taking all of that into account, along with the CW’s established bias towards renewal, the Bear doesn’t see any reason (as of yet) to consider “Riverdale’s” future in jeopardy.
Elsewhere, “All American” grew for the first time last week, from a 0.2 to a 0.3, but the Bear is keeping it as a tossup for the time being and will be watching how its next episode performs with a close eye.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.