Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 6 of the 2018-19 season, including how one spin-off’s second week uptick has improved its season 2 chances.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend Final Season 0.10 0.0
All American 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.23 0.13
Dynasty 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.18 0.08
DC’s Legends of Tomorrow 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.30 0.20
Legacies 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.35 0.25
Black Lightning 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.35 0.25
Charmed 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.38 0.28
Arrow 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.40 0.30
Supergirl 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.43 0.33
Supernatural 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.45 0.35
Riverdale 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.47 0.37
The Flash 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.73 0.63

 

The CW’s “Vampire Diaries”/”Originals” spin-off, “Legacies,” may have had just an OK premiere (0.3), but the show grew around 25% among adults 18-49 in its second week. Coming off the news that the CW has extended its initial season order today too, the Bear thinks there’s a good shot it will return for a second season next year. As of right now, at least.

“Charmed” may be suffering from a steady ratings decline as well, but the Bear still feels good about calling it a likely renewal. It’s the network’s highest-rated rookie show, was picked up for a full season today, and is CBS-owned. The Bear doesn’t think it’s going anywhere.

Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2019
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2019

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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