Here are The CW’s renew/cancel standings for week 6 of the 2018-19 season, including how one spin-off’s second week uptick has improved its season 2 chances.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Crazy Ex-Girlfriend||Final Season||0.10||0.0|
|All American||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.23||0.13|
|Dynasty||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.18||0.08|
|DC’s Legends of Tomorrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.30||0.20|
|Legacies||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.35||0.25|
|Black Lightning||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.35||0.25|
|Charmed||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.38||0.28|
|Arrow||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.40||0.30|
|Supergirl||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.43||0.33|
|Supernatural||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.45||0.35|
|Riverdale||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.47||0.37|
|The Flash||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.73||0.63|
The CW’s “Vampire Diaries”/”Originals” spin-off, “Legacies,” may have had just an OK premiere (0.3), but the show grew around 25% among adults 18-49 in its second week. Coming off the news that the CW has extended its initial season order today too, the Bear thinks there’s a good shot it will return for a second season next year. As of right now, at least.
“Charmed” may be suffering from a steady ratings decline as well, but the Bear still feels good about calling it a likely renewal. It’s the network’s highest-rated rookie show, was picked up for a full season today, and is CBS-owned. The Bear doesn’t think it’s going anywhere.
Note: All of The CW’s shows are produced by network owners CBS and Warner Bros., so the (O) designation (see below) is immaterial.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2019|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2019|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2018-19 season, replacement level is a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.1 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.6 (or 0.1) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.